Football · Panini Donruss Downtown · Steal Sheet #1 pick · High confidence
Is the 2025 Panini Donruss Downtown Lamar Jackson #1 worth grading?
Last updated
The cheapest entry on the sheet: the PSA 9 sits above the raw average and a 10 roughly doubles the raw price.
Max buy price
$371.87
incl. shipping · highest raw price that still clears 20% expected net ROI
GRADEDeep raw market: most October raw sales landed at $330–$375. The live Buy It Now ($365.58 incl. shipping) is under the max buy price.
Updated 2026-10-17.
Card data
- Set
- Panini Donruss Downtown
- Year
- 2025
- Card #
- 1
- Raw average
- $346.30
- PSA 9
- $416.15
- PSA 10
- $697.50
- PSA pop
- 450 PSA 10s of 649 graded
- Gem rate
- 69.3%
Sources: SportsCardsPro averages as of Oct 17, 2026; PSA pop unchanged since Oct 14-16.
The PSA 10 slipped from $720.21 to $697.50 since Oct 14, so the ROI came down. Recent PSA 9 sales: $415–$425 (Oct 6–14).
eBay Buy It Now: $365.58 on eBay (live Oct 17, Buy It Now incl. shipping, seller accepts offers, eBay Authenticity Guarantee).
Grading math
- Cost basis (raw average)
- $346.30
- PSA fee
- $59.99 · PSA Standard
- Shipping + insurance
- $10.00
- PSA 10 price / chance
- $697.50 · 69.3%
- PSA 9 price / chance
- $416.15 · 30.7%
- Marketplace fee
- 13.25%
GRADE
Expected ROI 27.4% clears your 20% target.
- All-in cost
- $416.29
- Expected value (after fees)
- $530.25
- Expected profit
- $113.96
- Expected net ROI
- 27.4%
- Gross ROI (before selling fees)
- 50.4%
- Break-even PSA 10 odds
- 22.6%
How we got there
Expected graded value = 69.3% × $697.50 + 30.7% × $416.15 = $611.23. That sets the PSA tier: $59.99 covers declared values up to $1,000.00. After a 13.25% marketplace fee, the expected sale nets $530.25 against an all-in cost of $416.29. Our bar for a GRADE is 20% expected net ROI, which caps what you should pay at $371.87.
The scout's own gross estimate was about +57% (before selling fees and shipping). Our net figure is lower because it includes those costs.
Confidence: High. The PSA 9 alone roughly breaks even, and the pop is deep.
What to check before you buy or submit
- Centering front and back (Downtown/Optic borders show off-center fast)
- Corners under magnification — any softness kills the 10
- Edges for chipping, especially on dark/foil designs
- Surface print lines, dimples and scratches under angled light
- Buy only NM-sharp copies; judge from real photos, not stock images
Pop-report gem rates describe every copy ever graded, not the one in front of you. Comps and listings move; re-check prices before buying. See this pick in Steal Sheet #1 and on the track record.
FAQ
Is the 2025 Panini Donruss Downtown Lamar Jackson #1 worth grading?
Yes, at the right price. At a $346.30 cost basis, expected net ROI is 27.4% after the $59.99 PSA fee, $10.00 shipping and insurance, and a 13.25% selling fee. That clears our 20% bar for a GRADE.
What's the most I should pay for a raw 2025 Panini Donruss Downtown Lamar Jackson #1?
$371.87, including shipping. That is the highest raw price that still clears 20% expected net ROI at the $59.99 PSA tier.
What is the PSA 10 gem rate for the 2025 Panini Donruss Downtown Lamar Jackson #1?
69.3%: 450 PSA 10s out of 649 graded, per the PSA population report as of October 17, 2026. That rate covers every copy ever graded, so inspect your own copy's centering, corners, edges and surface before counting on a 10.
Which PSA service level fits the 2025 Panini Donruss Downtown Lamar Jackson #1?
Expected graded value is $611.23 (69.3% × $697.50 + 30.7% × $416.15), which puts it in PSA Standard at $59.99. Fees change often; confirm on psacard.com before you submit.
Not financial advice. See the disclaimer.