Basketball · Panini Donruss Optic Downtown · Steal Sheet #1 pick · Low confidence
Is the 2024 Panini Donruss Optic Downtown Giannis Antetokounmpo #8 worth grading?
Last updated
A 77% gem rate on a thin pop, but at today's only raw ask the math no longer clears our bar. PASS unless you can buy at or under the cap.
Max buy price
$893.91
incl. shipping · highest raw price that still clears 20% expected net ROI
PASSPASS at today's price ($906.07 incl. shipping, down from $931.07 on Oct 14). The seller takes offers: buy only at or under the max buy price.
Updated 2026-10-17.
Card data
- Set
- Panini Donruss Optic Downtown
- Year
- 2024
- Card #
- 8
- Raw average
- $858.69
- PSA 9
- $937.81
- PSA 10
- $1,703.36
- PSA pop
- 86 PSA 10s of 112 graded
- Gem rate
- 76.8%
Sources: SportsCardsPro averages as of Oct 17, 2026; PSA pop unchanged since Oct 14-16.
No Grade 9 sales on record, so the PSA 9 value is SportsCardsPro's estimate (unverified). The verdict barely depends on it. Recent PSA 10 sales: $1,750 and $1,799 (Oct 7).
Cost basis is $906.07, not the raw average: live Oct 17 eBay Buy It Now incl. shipping, the only current raw price; no raw sales since $888 on Jul 19, so the $858.69 raw average is stale.
eBay Buy It Now: $906.07 on eBay (live Oct 17, Buy It Now incl. shipping, seller accepts offers, eBay Authenticity Guarantee).
Grading math
- Cost basis (live raw ask)
- $906.07
- PSA fee
- $199.00 · PSA Express
- Shipping + insurance
- $10.00
- PSA 10 price / chance
- $1,703.36 · 76.8%
- PSA 9 price / chance
- $937.81 · 23.2%
- Marketplace fee
- 13.25%
PASS
Positive but thin: 18.7% is under your 20% target once risk and time are counted.
- All-in cost
- $1,115.07
- Expected value (after fees)
- $1,323.52
- Expected profit
- $208.45
- Expected net ROI
- 18.7%
- Gross ROI (before selling fees)
- 38.1%
- Break-even PSA 10 odds
- 45.4%
How we got there
Expected graded value = 76.8% × $1,703.36 + 23.2% × $937.81 = $1,525.64. That sets the PSA tier: $199.00 covers declared values up to $2,500.00. After a 13.25% marketplace fee, the expected sale nets $1,323.52 against an all-in cost of $1,115.07. Our bar for a GRADE is 20% expected net ROI, which caps what you should pay at $893.91.
The scout's own gross estimate was about +66% (before selling fees and shipping, at a lower PSA fee). Our net figure is lower because it includes those costs.
Confidence: Low. Raw comps are stale (no raw sales since July) and the only current raw ask is above the price that clears our 20% bar.
What to check before you buy or submit
- Centering front and back (Downtown/Optic borders show off-center fast)
- Corners under magnification — any softness kills the 10
- Edges for chipping, especially on dark/foil designs
- Surface print lines, dimples and scratches under angled light
- Buy only NM-sharp copies; judge from real photos, not stock images
Pop-report gem rates describe every copy ever graded, not the one in front of you. Comps and listings move; re-check prices before buying. See this pick in Steal Sheet #1 and on the track record.
FAQ
Is the 2024 Panini Donruss Optic Downtown Giannis Antetokounmpo #8 worth grading?
Not at today's prices. At a $906.07 cost basis, expected net ROI is 18.7% after the $199.00 PSA fee, $10.00 shipping and insurance, and a 13.25% selling fee. That is below our 20% bar, so it's a PASS unless you can buy at or under $893.91.
What's the most I should pay for a raw 2024 Panini Donruss Optic Downtown Giannis Antetokounmpo #8?
$893.91, including shipping. That is the highest raw price that still clears 20% expected net ROI at the $199.00 PSA tier.
What is the PSA 10 gem rate for the 2024 Panini Donruss Optic Downtown Giannis Antetokounmpo #8?
76.8%: 86 PSA 10s out of 112 graded, per the PSA population report as of October 17, 2026. That rate covers every copy ever graded, so inspect your own copy's centering, corners, edges and surface before counting on a 10.
Which PSA service level fits the 2024 Panini Donruss Optic Downtown Giannis Antetokounmpo #8?
Expected graded value is $1,525.64 (76.8% × $1,703.36 + 23.2% × $937.81), which puts it in PSA Express at $199.00. Fees change often; confirm on psacard.com before you submit.
Not financial advice. See the disclaimer.